← All forecasts · October 19

MSCI / Q3 2026

MSCI

Reported: October 20, 2026

Published forecast

2026-10-20T17:22:06.889521+00:00

Opus 5.5 High in Shortcut

Shortcut

5.05

Shortcut normalized EPS

+0.6% vs Street

Off by $0.06 per share

Street

5.02

Street normalized EPS

Frozen October 18 snapshot

Off by $0.09 per share

Real

5.11

Issuer adjusted diluted EPS

Shortcut win

Reported result · October 20 ↗

USD per diluted MSCI common share. Percentages use unrounded forecasts.

Model download

Explore the assumptions and calculations behind the forecast.

Shortcut link unavailableDownload XLSX ↓

Shortcut’s reasoning.

The original model forecasts $5.05 normalized diluted EPS versus the Street estimate of $5.02. Subscription revenue, ETF assets and the diluted share count are the main drivers.

The original reviewed workbook is unchanged. Shortcut cannot import it, so the original XLSX is available to download.

On the record.

Reporting basis
Issuer adjusted diluted EPS / CapIQ normalized EPS
Forecast completed
2026-10-19T06:11:24.116084+00:00
Published
2026-10-20T17:22:06.889521+00:00
Scoring record
Unchanged workbook saved October 19; added to the website October 20 after a Shortcut import issue.
Model assumptions and review notes
  • Medium source limitation retained and prominently disclosed: S17 undated monthlyETF AUM was retrieved aftercutoff; pre-cutoff publication cannot be independently timestamped. These inputs DO enterEPS; roughly0.019EPS sensitivity per1%averageAUM. No invented timestamp or replacement input.
  • Allocation identity already disclosed CoverH27/ISK32/K140. J32 is a G&A balancing allocation; model checks establish consistency, not independent allocation validity. No financial retuning.
  • Cached issuer explicitlyreports72.7mJune30shares. Precision0.1mimpliesabout0.0035EPSrange; 10-Qcoverdate maydiffer, no source-free denominator substitution.
  • Approximate halfperiod acquiredRRconvention explicitlydisclosedK29.59/92day alternative changesEPSabout0.0038butis a forecast-convention change, not mechanicallycompelled correction. Preserve baseline.
  • Copied FXnoteK57 mistakenlydescribesM&A; J57=-.005 remains same originalassumption and computedFXarithmetic. Disclose minorlabeldefect.
  • Organicgrowth text n/a versusn/m discrepancy inPrivateAssetsH87/J87 is ancillarydisplayonly, outside251cellEPSclosure. Retain minorinterpretationcaveat.
  • Forecastcashbuyback250includesonlyopenmarket; memo saysincludingwithholding. Withholdingnotforecast/sourcequantified; cash/BS-only mismatch, noEPSdependency. Do not inventamount.
  • S17feedtextclipping retained, fulltextavailableincell and sourceB48. Cosmeticlimitation.
  • Inputsdaterowheaderalignment retainedcosmetic; rawdatevaluesandhistoryunchanged.
  • Secondarymembership/adddate sourceunconfirmed; marketcap41.37bn independentlyforcesLargeprior.78 regardlessmembership. NoEPSdependency.
  • AllsourcesretrievedOctober19aftercutoff. Datedoriginalpublicationsprecedecutoff, but immutablecutoffstateunproven; undatedS17materialcontentuncertainty separatelydisclosedF01.
Research sources