← All forecasts · October 5–9, 2026

PEP / Q3 FY2026

PepsiCo

Reports 2026-10-08 · 6:00 AM ET

Published forecast

Oct 4, 2026, 9:49 PM PDT

Opus 5.5 High in Shortcut

Shortcut

2.31

Shortcut

+0.2% vs Street

Street

2.30

Street

Frozen October 4 snapshot

Real

2.34

Real

Shortcut win

Q3 FY2026 normalized EPS uses PepsiCo’s core diluted EPS of $2.34. Core earnings include tariff refunds, consistent with the published forecast’s selected treatment. GAAP EPS was $2.23.

Issuer earnings release ↗

Absolute EPS error: Shortcut 3.5¢ · Street 4.0¢. Scored using the saved published forecast.

The $2.31 forecast includes an assumed tariff refund. Its amount, timing and normalized-EPS treatment remain uncertain. Without it, the model gives about $2.22.

Explore the model.

Open the assumptions and calculations behind this earnings forecast.

PEP reviewed earnings model

Behind the estimate.

The model expects international growth and expanded distribution to offset weaker North American demand. Pricing investments, higher costs and a higher tax rate keep earnings near the Street despite revenue growth.

A tariff refund is the swing factor. The $2.31 forecast assumes roughly $144m pretax is recognized this quarter and included in core earnings. Without it, EPS is about $2.22; another reading of management’s commentary gives about $2.25. The published forecast stays fixed.

Forecast and independent review: Opus 5.5 High in Shortcut.

On the record.

Reporting period
Q3 FY2026, ended 2026-09-05
Reporting basis
Normalized/core diluted EPS assuming tariff-refund inclusion, USD per common share
Published
Oct 4, 2026, 9:49 PM PDT
Model / effort
Opus 5.5 · High effort

Original forecasts, models and publication times remain on the record.