Roche license revenue
The model assumed the full $700m upfront payment would be recognized this quarter. Nurix recognized $653.2m, contributing to the forecast overshoot.
Oct 5, 2026, 12:32 AM PDT
Shortcut
5.30Shortcut
+3.8% vs Street
Street
5.11Street
Frozen October 4 snapshot
Real
4.73Actual GAAP diluted EPS
Shortcut loss
Street was closer. Shortcut’s EPS error was $0.57, compared with $0.38 for the Street.
Earnings release ↗The score compares the original forecasts with reported GAAP EPS. The Street snapshot is labeled normalized, so matching adjustments remain unverified.
NRIX reported October 12 and is included in this week’s results. Its October 5 forecast and frozen October 4 Street estimate are unchanged.
Open the assumptions and calculations behind this earnings forecast.

The model assumed the full $700m upfront payment would be recognized this quarter. Nurix recognized $653.2m, contributing to the forecast overshoot.
The model included $15.2m of collaboration revenue and Roche’s share of development costs.
Spreading the license payment over time produced a −$0.51 EPS scenario. The published $5.30 forecast assumed a 1.6% tax rate and no normalization adjustments.
Original forecasts, models and publication times remain on the record.