← All forecasts · November 2–6

MAR / FQ3 2026 (quarter ended 2026-09-30)

Marriott International, Inc.

Reported: Nov 2, 2026

Forecast published

Opus 5.5 High in Shortcut

Review incomplete · First posted after earnings

Shortcut

2.89

Normalized diluted EPS

+1.4% vs Street

Off by $0.13 per share

Street

2.85

Normalized diluted EPS

November 1 consensus snapshot

Off by $0.17 per share

Real

3.02

Reported normalized EPS

Shortcut win

Reported result · Nov 2 ↗ · Provider 3.02 agrees with issuer adjusted dilutedEPS3.02, distinct from GAAP 3.04.

USD per diluted ordinary/common share. Comparisons use unrounded estimates.

Model download

Explore the assumptions and calculations behind the forecast. This is the agent’s original workbook. Its review didn’t finish, so it hasn’t been checked or repaired.

Shortcut’s reasoning.

Guidance 3Q26 adj. EPS $2.74-2.82 (mid $2.78); Marriott beat its EPS midpoint in 3 of the last 4 quarters (avg +$0.12) and gross-fee midpoints every quarter (+$20-60m).

Quarter data skew positive: July RevPAR +7% global / +8% U.S. & Canada (Sep-9 conference); peers beat Q3 RevPAR guides (Hilton +5.8% vs ~4%, Hyatt +7.2%, IHG +5.3%); U.S. industry RevPAR ~+7% in Q3.

Model worldwide RevPAR ~+4.8% vs 3.5-4.0% guide; Middle East still negative (-14% assumed) and Greater China soft, so international ~+1.5%.

Gross fees $1,509m (+12.7% Y/Y, ~$30m above guide mid) incl. co-brand card fees +$85m; OL&O net, G&A, D&A, interest and 26.7% tax held at guidance; ~261.0m diluted shares after ~$1.0bn buyback.

Result: adj. EPS $2.89 vs consensus $2.85 (+1.4%); revenue $6,917m vs $6,922m consensus; GAAP EPS $2.82 assumes -$25m net cost reimbursements.

On the record.

Reporting period
FQ3 2026 (quarter ended 2026-09-30)
Reporting basis
Adjusted (non-GAAP) diluted EPS, USD per diluted common share = normalized EPS basis
Consensus snapshot
November 1, 2026
Model / effort
Opus 5.5 · High effort
Workbook
Original workbook · review incomplete
Record history
Forecast generated
Nov 1, 2026 at 9:39 PM PST
First posted
Nov 2, 2026 at 3:21 PM PST
Result checked
Nov 2, 2026 at 5:14 PM PST