← All forecasts · October 26–30

MO / Q3 2026 (FQ3 2026 - Sep 2026)

Altria Group, Inc.

Reported: Oct 29, 2026

Forecast published

Opus 5.5 High in Shortcut

Shortcut

1.49

Normalized diluted EPS

-1.4% vs Street

Off by $0.03 per share

Street

1.51

Normalized diluted EPS

October 25 consensus snapshot

Off by $0.01 per share

Real

1.52

Altria issuer adjusted diluted EPS

Street win

Reported result · Oct 29 ↗ · The issuer Q3 Schedule 7 reconciliation reports diluted GAAP EPS 1.51 and adjusted-for-special-items diluted EPS 1.52.

USD per diluted common share. Comparisons use unrounded estimates.

Model download

Explore the assumptions and calculations behind the forecast.

Shortcut’s reasoning.

Revenue = revenues net of excise (consensus basis, verified vs all consensus history rows). Smokeable: domestic units -4.9% (cigarettes -5.1% on a 3Q25 comp flattered by trade-inventory build) x price realization +4.7% plus import-duty refunds $77m (3Q25 $20m) -> $4,629m; oral $664m; total $5,296m vs $5,310m consensus.

Smokeable adj. OCI $3,008m (+1.8%): margin ex-refunds held at 2Q26 64.4%, refunds at ~100% drop-through; oral adj. OCI $438m (-4.7%) as on! PLUS 12mg national launch adds trial spend (2Q26 call).

ABI equity income steps up to ~$194m (8.1% of ABI 2Q26 underlying profit $2,390m, +22.6% Y/Y; one-quarter lag) vs $157m in 3Q25; interest $270m; adjusted tax 23.0% (FY26 guide 22.5-23.5%).

On the record.

Reporting period
Q3 2026 (FQ3 2026 - Sep 2026)
Reporting basis
Altria adjusted diluted EPS, two-class common-share method, USD per NYSE common share
Consensus snapshot
October 25, 2026
Model / effort
Opus 5.5 · High effort
Workbook
Reviewed workbook
Record history
Forecast generated
Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM PDT
Reviewed revision completed
Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM PDT
First published
Oct 26, 2026 at 5:22 PM PDT
Result basis

The issuer Q3 Schedule 7 reconciliation reports diluted GAAP EPS 1.51 and adjusted-for-special-items diluted EPS 1.52. This uses the accepted USD diluted common-share convention. The reported issuer EPS is used directly, with no local reconstruction of the common-available numerator or altered participating-security treatment. The issuer Q3 2025 adjusted comparative 1.45 matches the frozen normalized history for that quarter. This check does not claim exhaustive item-level vendor definition equivalence.