← All forecasts · October 26–30

GSK / Q3 2026 (FQ3 2026 - Sep 2026)

GSK plc

Reported: Oct 28, 2026

Forecast published

Opus 5.5 High in Shortcut

Shortcut

0.508

Normalized basic EPS

-0.3% vs Street

Off by £0.038 per share

Street

0.510

Normalized basic EPS

October 25 consensus snapshot

Off by £0.036 per share

Real

0.546

Core basic EPS

Street win

Reported result · Oct 28 ↗ · GSK reports Core basic EPS 54.6p, or GBP0.546 per London ordinary share, and total basic EPS 38.5p for September 30,2026.

GBP per basic London ordinary share. Comparisons use unrounded estimates.

Model download

Explore the assumptions and calculations behind the forecast.

Shortcut’s reasoning.

Product-level build (three segment tabs) gives turnover £8,782m (+2.7% AER, +3.8% CER, FX -1% per GSK aide memoire), ~0.6% below consensus data £8,834m: Specialty £3,842m (HIV LAIs, Nucala COPD), Vaccines £2,594m (Shingrix Europe annualising, weak International, tough Arexvy/flu base), General Medicines £2,346m.

Core OP £2,952m (33.6% margin): Core COGS 23.2% of sales (H1 26 mix gains partly persist), SG&A +2.6% ("broadly stable" FY guide), R&D +16.6% (20+ phase III starts plus Nuvalent from 15-Jul-26), royalties £232m (FY £850-900m guide).

Below the line: net finance -£255m (FY ~£800m incl. Nuvalent debt), Core tax 17.4% (vs 16.0% year-ago comparator flagged by GSK), NCI £188m; basic WANS 4,009m pre-announced by GSK -> Core EPS £0.5083 vs frozen consensus £0.51 (company-compiled 50.4p, RBC 50.8p).

On the record.

Reporting period
Q3 2026 (FQ3 2026 - Sep 2026)
Reporting basis
GSK Core EPS on basic WANS, matched to frozen consensus normalized actuals
Consensus snapshot
October 25, 2026
Model / effort
Opus 5.5 · High effort
Workbook
Reviewed workbook
Record history
Forecast generated
Oct 26, 2026 at 10:40 AM PDT
Reviewed revision completed
Oct 26, 2026 at 10:40 AM PDT
First published
Oct 26, 2026 at 11:39 AM PDT
Result basis

GSK reports Core basic EPS 54.6p, or GBP0.546 per London ordinary share, and total basic EPS 38.5p for September 30,2026. The Core reconciliation on printed page 16 uses GBP2,189m attributable earnings and 4,009m basic shares; printed page 30 separately identifies 4,073m diluted shares. This matches the published basic Core convention. No ADS, USD or diluted conversion is used.