Aurora Innovation, Inc.
Shortcut
-0.12GAAP diluted EPS
+6.7% vs Street
Street
-0.13GAAP diluted EPS
October 25 consensus snapshot
Real
-0.12GAAP diluted EPS
Model download
Explore the assumptions and calculations behind the forecast.
Shortcut’s reasoning.
Revenue $3.0m: fleet ladder 25 trucks operating at the 7/29 call rising to ~35 (20-25 Gen-2 trucks guided for end-Q3) x ~$100k per truck per quarter ($80m TaaS run-rate / 200 trucks); FY26 $14-16m guide reaffirmed 9/23 with Q4 > half; consensus $2.94m.
Cash opex held ~flat vs 2Q26 (R&D ex-SBC $165m, SG&A ex-SBC $38m, cost of revenue $9m) consistent with the reaffirmed $190-220m average quarterly cash use; SBC $57m (2025 pattern: 3Q below 2Q). GAAP operating loss -$266m.
Non-operating: +$12.1m derivative gain as AUR fell from $6.82 (6/30) to $5.54 (9/30) -- public/private warrants ($11.50 strike, expire 11/3/26) go to ~zero and the 5m-share earnout liability falls ~$6m -- plus ~$10.7m interest income at the 2Q26 3.85% yield.
On the record.
- Reporting period
- Q3 2026 (FQ3 2026 - Sep 2026)
- Reporting basis
- GAAP diluted EPS per Class A+B common share
- Consensus snapshot
- October 25, 2026
- Model / effort
- Opus 5.5 · High effort
- Workbook
- Reviewed workbook
Record history
- Forecast generated
- Oct 26, 2026 at 3:33 AM PDT
- Reviewed revision completed
- Oct 26, 2026 at 3:33 AM PDT
- First published
- Oct 26, 2026 at 5:51 AM PDT
Result basis
Aurora reports GAAP basic and diluted net loss per share of $0.12 for the three months ended September 30,2026, with $234m consolidated net loss and 2,004m weighted-average common shares. The published forecast explicitly uses GAAP diluted EPS per Class A+B common share, not the historical ex-SBC-like normalized series. The $13m derivative fair-value gain remains inside reported GAAP; no new adjustment is applied.